The relevant information this week is as follows:
1. Raw material
Crude oil: Compared with the previous statistical cycle, the international crude oil price in this statistical cycle is basically flat, and the average price of Brent crude oil in the cycle is US$69.26 per barrel. At present, the mixed news on the US economy and tariffs and the latest EU sanctions on Russia have caused concerns about crude oil supply, leading to a slight fluctuation in crude oil prices this week. However, since it is the peak season for crude oil demand in summer, crude oil prices have maintained a slight increase.
Overall, international oil prices will remain slightly volatile before there is a clear signal. Changes in geopolitics and the world economic situation may change the market trend. Relatively speaking, peak season demand only has limited support for oil prices.
2. Production capacity
Among the major production refineries in the country, Maoming and Dalian have stopped production, Jinan Petrochemical’s production capacity is recovering, Lanzhou is producing intermittently, and the rest of the refineries are operating normally.
|
Period |
Factory |
Status |
|
20250714-0720 |
Daqing Pec |
Normal |
|
20250714-0720 |
Daqing Ref
& Che |
|
|
20250714-0720 |
Dalian Pec |
Closed and
Relocating |
|
20250714-0720 |
Fushun Pec |
Normal |
|
20250714-0720 |
Lanzhou Pec |
Intermittent |
|
20250714-0720 |
Jingmen Pec |
Normal |
|
20250714-0720 |
Gaoqiao Pec |
Normal |
|
20250714-0720 |
Maoming Pec |
Suspended |
|
20250714-0720 |
Jinan Ref
& Che |
Recovering |
|
20250714-0720 |
Nanyang Pec |
Normal |
|
20250714-0720 |
Panjing Beiran |
Normal |
3. Stock
The market has cooled down this week, mainly due to the high temperature, which has caused some factories to shut down and reduced demand for medium and low melting point paraffin. The current
national inventory is about 10,000 tons.
4. Market demand
The demand for paraffin wax has decreased, mainly concentrated in medium and low melting point paraffin wax models, and medium and high melting point paraffin wax is still in short supply.
5. Industry analysis overview
This week, the listing price of paraffin wax finally ended the “six consecutive increases” and remained the same as last week. Judging from the current market transaction situation and national inventory, there is still room for the listing price of paraffin wax to rise, especially the Fushun Refinery, which has the largest production capacity in the country, will start a two-month shutdown and maintenance on August 15. Although the national inventory has increased and the demand for medium and low melting point
paraffin wax has decreased due to high temperature weather, before the Fushun Refinery officially stops production, the motivation of all parties to stock up is still there, but the price of paraffin wax may change from “general increase” to “flexible adjustment”.
6. Price expectations
Currently, the listing price of paraffin wax is mainly stable, but popular models may still rise, such as fully refined paraffin wax 56# and above.