20251201~20251207 paraffin market analysis of China 

The relevant information this week is as follows:

1. Raw material

Crude oil: Compared to the previous statistical period, the average international crude oil price rose slightly during this period, with Brent crude oil averaging $63.09 per barrel. The OPEC+ video conference last Sunday confirmed a halt to production increases in the first quarter of 2026, slightly easing downward pressure on international crude oil prices. With no breakthrough in the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement negotiations, international oil prices rose steadily starting Wednesday.

However, overall international crude oil prices remain low, and the “oversupply” market situation continues to dominate the behavior
of most investors.

2. Production capacity

Among the major refineries in the country, Maoming, Dalian and Lanzhou have stopped production, and the rest of the refineries are operating normally.

Period

Factory

Status

20251128-1204

Daqing Pec

Normal

20251128-1204

Daqing Ref & Che

Normal

20251128-1204

Dalian Pec

Closed and Relocating

20251128-1204

Fushun Pec

Normal

20251128-1204

Lanzhou Pec

Suspended

20251128-1204

Jingmen Pec

Normal

20251128-1204

Gaoqiao Pec

Normal

20251128-1204

Maoming Pec

Suspended

20251128-1204

Jinan Ref & Che

Normal

20251128-1204

Nanyang Pec

Normal

20251128-1204

Panjing Beiran

Normal

 

3. Stock

The paraffin market was generally flat this week, with national inventory currently remaining at 13,000 tons.

4. Market demand

Currently, it is the traditional off-season for paraffin wax sales, with low demand.

5. Industry analysis overview

This week, paraffin wax prices showed a polarized trend. Sinopec flexibly adjusted the listed prices of some grades, taking Gaoqiao as a representative example, low-to-medium melting point grades (52#, 54#, 56#) decreased by 200-300 yuan/ton, while 60# increased by 50 yuan. Considering the recent production situation at the Gaoqiao refinery, it is clear that they are lowering prices to promote the products they are currently producing. Meanwhile, PetroChina slightly increased the listed prices of all semi-refined and crude paraffin wax grades; however, judging from the overall quotations from traders, transaction prices have fallen instead of rising, with some
already below the listed price.

6. Price expectations

Recently, paraffin wax prices are expected to remain stable, but flexible adjustments are possible, and downward pressure on paraffin wax prices is increasing.

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