The relevant information this week is as follows:
1. Raw material
Crude oil: Compared to the previous statistical period, the average price of international crude oil fell by about $2 per barrel during this period, with the average price of Brent crude oil at $104.92 per barrel. Amid the meeting between the leaders of China and the United States, international oil prices reversed the downward trend of the previous week and began to rise slightly again—this seems to reflect that the two sides have not reached a consensus or agreement that would help ease tensions in the Persian Gulf. Meanwhile, The Times of Israel reported that Israel and the United States are actively advancing military preparations and may resume coordinated strikes against Iran as early as next week.
2. Production capacity
Among the major refineries nationwide, Maoming and Dalian have suspended production, Lanzhou is producing intermittently, and the remaining refineries are operating normally.
|
Period |
Factory |
Status |
|
20260508-0514 |
Daqing Pec |
Normal |
|
20260508-0514 |
Daqing Ref & Che |
|
|
20260508-0514 |
Dalian Pec |
Closed and Relocating |
|
20260508-0514 |
Fushun Pec |
Normal |
|
20260508-0514 |
Lanzhou Pec |
Intermittently |
|
20260508-0514 |
Jingmen Pec |
Normal |
|
20260508-0514 |
Gaoqiao Pec |
Normal |
|
20260508-0514 |
Maoming Pec |
Suspended |
|
20260508-0514 |
Jinan Ref & Che |
Normal |
|
20260508-0514 |
Nanyang Pec |
Normal |
|
20260508-0514 |
Panjing Beiran |
Normal |
3. Stock
National inventory increased significantly to 29,000 tons, and the market remained sluggish.
4. Market demand
Currently, it is the traditional off-season for the market, and with paraffin wax prices currently high, demand is extremely low.
5. Industry analysis overview
This week, PetroChina maintained stable prices, while Sinopec flexibly lowered prices for some models by 100-200 yuan/ton. However, national inventory increased significantly to 29,000 tons this week, and inventory pressure is beginning to emerge. PetroChina announced at the end of this week that it will lower the list price of all paraffin wax by 300 yuan/ton next week, and Sinopec is expected to make a corresponding adjustment.
6. Price expectations
Paraffin wax prices are probably to decline next week, and the paraffin wax market may have entered a downward cycle.